Tennis · Challenger Cali · 19/10, 17:00
Prediction: Mateus Alves vs Jose Pereira
Team pages: Mateus Alves · Jose Pereira
Prediction summary
Winner
Mateus Alves
Jose Pereira
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mateus Alves
7-3 (W-L)
Jose Pereira
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mateus Alves
2–2
Jose Pereira
(4 last)
- 05 Oct0-2 6-12L
- 29 Sept2-1 13-12W
- 05 Feb2-1 16-11W
- 24 Jan0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mateus Alves 1537 · Jose Pereira 1560
| Mateus Alves | Jose Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mateus Alves | Jose Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.8 | 13.2-11.9 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 51% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Mateus Alves 2 – 2 Jose Pereira (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mateus Alves 2–2 Jose Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/26 Challenger Antofagasta | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09/26 Challenger Curitiba | 2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 05/02/20 ITF M15 Cancun | 2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/01/20 ITF M15 Cancun | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mateus Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Jose Pereira Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Bautista De La Pena Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Jose Pereira Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 26/09 | Wilson Leite M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Jose Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Tristan McCormick Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Mateus Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 27/09 | Rafael Tosetto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/09 | Wilson Leite M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Justin Roberts M15 Curitiba |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 23/09 | Felipe De Dios M15 Curitiba |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mateus Alves vs Jose Pereira?
Our model gives 62% to Mateus Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.