Tennis · ATP Brussels · 20/10, 12:00
Prediction: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola
Team pages: David Goffin · Remy Bertola
Prediction summary
Winner
David Goffin
Remy Bertola
Estimated games
25Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
David Goffin
3-7 (W-L)
Remy Bertola
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · David Goffin 1443 · Remy Bertola 1470
| David Goffin | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Remy Bertola makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| David Goffin | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-12.8 | 15.2-15.5 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.5
Over 22.5: 67% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 33% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
David Goffin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Toby Samuel French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/05 | Chun Hsin Tseng French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/04 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Emilio Nava ATP Munich · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Emilio Nava ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/04 | Ignacio Buse ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/03 | Roberto Bautista-Agut Challenger Cap Cana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Remy Bertola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Federico Cina ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 17/10 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 14/10 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Alexandre Reco Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Davis Cup |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 03/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Jerome Kym Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in David Goffin vs Remy Bertola?
Our model gives 56% to Remy Bertola, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.