Tennis · ATP Brussels · 20/10, 12:00
Prediction: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Raphael Collignon
Team pages: Nishesh Basavareddy · Raphael Collignon
Prediction summary
Winner
Nishesh Basavareddy
Raphael Collignon
Estimated games
25.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nishesh Basavareddy
7-3 (W-L)
Raphael Collignon
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nishesh Basavareddy
1–0
Raphael Collignon
(1 last)
- 18 Aug2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nishesh Basavareddy 1570 · Raphael Collignon 1488
| Nishesh Basavareddy | Raphael Collignon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nishesh Basavareddy (rating 1570 vs 1488).
- Nishesh Basavareddy is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nishesh Basavareddy 1–0 Raphael Collignon (1).
- Note: Raphael Collignon makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Nishesh Basavareddy | Raphael Collignon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.4 | 14-15.9 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 7.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 30.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.6
Over 22.5: 68% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 32% · 1.90
H2H · Nishesh Basavareddy 1 – 0 Raphael Collignon (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nishesh Basavareddy 1–0 Raphael Collignon
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/25 ATP Winston-Salem | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nishesh Basavareddy
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/10 | Edas Butvilas ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Kimmer Coppejans ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Andy Andrade Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Keaton Hance Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Mees Rottgering Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Tristan Schoolkate US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 19-22 | L |
Raphael Collignon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Sebastian Gorzny US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 24-25 | L |
| 25/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 15/07 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nishesh Basavareddy vs Raphael Collignon?
Our model gives 59% to Nishesh Basavareddy, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.