Tennis · ATP Brussels · 19/10, 13:30
Prediction: Yannick Hanfmann vs Martin Damm
Team pages: Yannick Hanfmann · Martin Damm
Prediction summary
Winner
Yannick Hanfmann
Martin Damm
Estimated games
25.8Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yannick Hanfmann
3-7 (W-L)
Martin Damm
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yannick Hanfmann 1462 · Martin Damm 1487
| Yannick Hanfmann | Martin Damm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yannick Hanfmann dominates on serve: 10.8 aces and 41.6% break avg.
- Martin Damm dominates on serve: 15 aces and 42.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Yannick Hanfmann | Martin Damm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.5-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-13.9 | 13.8-13.5 |
| Aces | 10.8 | 15 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 76.5% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8 · Bet365 line 24.5 · +1.3
Over 24.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 41% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yannick Hanfmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 28/09 | Tomas Machac ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 31/08 | Alejandro Tabilo US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-24 | L |
| 16/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Martin Damm
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Andrea Guerrieri ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 17/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 28/09 | Arthur Fils ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 26/09 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Frances Tiafoe US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-25 | L |
| 27/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yannick Hanfmann vs Martin Damm?
Our model gives 51% to Yannick Hanfmann, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.