Tennis · W50 Cherbourg · 19/10, 14:00
Prediction: Milena Ciocan vs Diana Marcinkevica
Team pages: Milena Ciocan · Diana Marcinkevica
Prediction summary
Winner
Milena Ciocan
Diana Marcinkevica
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Milena Ciocan
4-6 (W-L)
Diana Marcinkevica
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Milena Ciocan 1492 · Diana Marcinkevica 1533
| Milena Ciocan | Diana Marcinkevica | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diana Marcinkevica (rating 1492 vs 1533).
- Note: Diana Marcinkevica makes many double faults (9/match).
Statistics
| Milena Ciocan | Diana Marcinkevica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10 | 11.4-8.3 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 63% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 58.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Milena Ciocan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Anastasiia Firman W50 Cherbourg |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Lilian Poling W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Marine Szostak W35 Reims |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Margaux Komano W35 Reims |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/09 | Chrystal Lopez W35 Reims |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Hajar Crinebouch W15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Katarina Kujovic W15 Cluj Napoca |
0-2 | 4-7 | L |
| 22/07 | Alexia Iulia Marginean W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Vanesa Salaiova W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Sophia Biolay W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Diana Marcinkevica
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Hajar Crinebouch W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/10 | Amira Benaissa UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Jizel M S Fernandes UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Annika Kannan UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/10 | Chiara Jerolimov UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/09 | Anna Cabassers Morros W35 Baza |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Daniela Ciobanu UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Zejda Veljacic UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Lea Fojcik UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Jade Groen UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Milena Ciocan vs Diana Marcinkevica?
Our model gives 55% to Milena Ciocan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.