Tennis · W50 Cherbourg · 19/10, 10:00
Prediction: Sarah Iliev vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Team pages: Sarah Iliev · Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Prediction summary
Winner
Sarah Iliev
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sarah Iliev
4-6 (W-L)
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sarah Iliev 1560 · Maia Ilinca Burcescu 1501
| Sarah Iliev | Maia Ilinca Burcescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sarah Iliev (rating 1560 vs 1501).
- Note: Maia Ilinca Burcescu makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Sarah Iliev | Maia Ilinca Burcescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.8 | 11.8-11 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sarah Iliev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Severine Deppner W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Emma Lene W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Anna Burchak W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Hanna Bougouffa W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W15 Dijon |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Dijon |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Gina Marie Dittmann W15 Dijon |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 09/09 | Kayla Lorrimer W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Alice Tubello W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Helena Stevic W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Ilinca D Amariei W50 Stara Zagora |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Burgas |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Raya Markova W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/10 | Tara Wuerth W15 Varna |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Briyana Ivanova W15 Varna |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/09 | Anne Schaefer W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Sonja Zhenikhova W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sarah Iliev vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu?
Our model gives 52% to Sarah Iliev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.