Tennis · Challenger Cali · 20/10, 17:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Miguel Tobon
Team pages: Gonzalo Villanueva · Miguel Tobon
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Villanueva
Miguel Tobon
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Villanueva
5-5 (W-L)
Miguel Tobon
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gonzalo Villanueva
1–0
Miguel Tobon
(1 last)
- 20 Oct2-0 12-0W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Villanueva 1491 · Miguel Tobon 1497
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Miguel Tobon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Gonzalo Villanueva 1–0 Miguel Tobon (1).
Statistics
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Miguel Tobon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.9 | 10.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 43% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Gonzalo Villanueva 1 – 0 Miguel Tobon (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gonzalo Villanueva 1–0 Miguel Tobon
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/25 Challenger Costa do Sauipe | 2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Villanueva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 02/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 29/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/08 | Santiago De La Fuente M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Leonel Cesar Castro M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Miguel Tobon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 06/10 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 10/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Koray Kirci Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Villanueva vs Miguel Tobon?
Our model gives 54% to Gonzalo Villanueva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.