Tennis · Challenger Cali · 20/10, 17:00
Prediction: Matias Soto vs Samuel Heredia
Team pages: Matias Soto · Samuel Heredia
Prediction summary
Winner
Matias Soto
Samuel Heredia
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Matias Soto
3-7 (W-L)
Samuel Heredia
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matias Soto 1471 · Samuel Heredia 1453
| Matias Soto | Samuel Heredia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matias Soto | Samuel Heredia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11.1 | 9.9-12.6 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 34.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matias Soto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Martin Landaluce Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Samuel Heredia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/09 | Leonardo Storck Franca Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Jesper De Jong Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Laslo Djere Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Luca Potenza M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | John Echeverria Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matias Soto vs Samuel Heredia?
Our model gives 65% to Matias Soto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.