Tennis · Challenger Cali · 20/10, 17:00
Prediction: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios Vera
Team pages: Tomas Barrios Vera
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Jarry
Tomas Barrios Vera
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Jarry
4-6 (W-L)
Tomas Barrios Vera
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nicolas Jarry
2–0
Tomas Barrios Vera
(2 last)
- 13 Feb2-0 12-2W
- 16 Apr2-0 14-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Jarry 1485 · Tomas Barrios Vera 1542
| Nicolas Jarry | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tomas Barrios Vera (rating 1485 vs 1542).
- Tomas Barrios Vera is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nicolas Jarry 2–0 Tomas Barrios Vera (2).
Statistics
| Nicolas Jarry | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-13.1 | 13.2-9.4 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 70% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 31.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Nicolas Jarry 2 – 0 Tomas Barrios Vera (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolas Jarry 2–0 Tomas Barrios Vera
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/17 Challenger Tempe Qual | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/04/16 Challenger Savannah Qual | 2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Jarry
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04 | Elmer Moller Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 11/04 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 10/04 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/04 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/03 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Adam Walton Challenger Cap Cana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/03 | Francesco Maestrelli ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/02 | Dino Prizmic ATP Santiago · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/02 | Jaime Faria ATP Rio De Janeiro · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 12/01 | Titouan Droguet Australian Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Tomas Barrios Vera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Daniel Rincon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Our model gives 64% to Tomas Barrios Vera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.