Tennis · Challenger Cali · 20/10, 17:00
Prediction: Hernan Casanova vs Gonzalo Bueno
Team pages: Hernan Casanova · Gonzalo Bueno
Prediction summary
Winner
Hernan Casanova
Gonzalo Bueno
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Hernan Casanova
3-7 (W-L)
Gonzalo Bueno
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hernan Casanova
0–1
Gonzalo Bueno
(1 last)
- 10 Apr1-2 14-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hernan Casanova 1471 · Gonzalo Bueno 1519
| Hernan Casanova | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gonzalo Bueno (rating 1471 vs 1519).
- Head-to-head: Hernan Casanova 0–1 Gonzalo Bueno (1).
Statistics
| Hernan Casanova | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-9.7 | 8.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 47% | 16.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Hernan Casanova 0 – 1 Gonzalo Bueno (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hernan Casanova 0–1 Gonzalo Bueno
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Challenger Campinas | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hernan Casanova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Wilson Leite Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Alexandre Bobiere Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Wilson Leite Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Flynn Thomas M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 04/08 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Denia |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
Gonzalo Bueno
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Billy Harris US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hernan Casanova vs Gonzalo Bueno?
Our model gives 59% to Gonzalo Bueno, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.