Tennis · Challenger Cali · 20/10, 17:00
Prediction: Nick Hardt vs Francisco Comesana
Team pages: Nick Hardt · Francisco Comesana
Prediction summary
Winner
Nick Hardt
Francisco Comesana
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nick Hardt
5-5 (W-L)
Francisco Comesana
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nick Hardt
1–3
Francisco Comesana
(4 last)
- 13 Oct1-2 11-16L
- 01 Aug1-2 15-18L
- 02 Oct1-2 13-13L
- 03 May2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nick Hardt 1442 · Francisco Comesana 1520
| Nick Hardt | Francisco Comesana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francisco Comesana (rating 1442 vs 1520).
- Head-to-head: Nick Hardt 1–3 Francisco Comesana (4).
- Note: Nick Hardt makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Nick Hardt | Francisco Comesana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.5-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-13 | 14.9-13.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
H2H · Nick Hardt 1 – 3 Francisco Comesana (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nick Hardt 1–3 Francisco Comesana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/26 Challenger Santa Cruz | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/08/24 Challenger San Marino | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 02/10/23 Challenger Campinas | 1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 03/05/22 Challenger Salvador De Bahia | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nick Hardt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Jakub Filip Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/08 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Francisco Comesana
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 15/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 22/09 | Juan Estevez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Flavio Cobolli US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-23 | L |
| 25/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Yibing Wu ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nick Hardt vs Francisco Comesana?
Our model gives 71% to Francisco Comesana, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.