Tennis · UTR Pro Lubbock · 19/10, 19:30
Prediction: Ludovico Vaccari vs Julian Messina
Team pages: Ludovico Vaccari
Prediction summary
Winner
Ludovico Vaccari
Julian Messina
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ludovico Vaccari
6-4 (W-L)
Julian Messina
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ludovico Vaccari 1502 · Julian Messina 1413
| Ludovico Vaccari | Julian Messina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ludovico Vaccari (rating 1502 vs 1413).
- Ludovico Vaccari is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Julian Messina makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Ludovico Vaccari | Julian Messina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.5 | 8-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ludovico Vaccari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Gioele Cerelli M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 26/07 | Andrea Pavia M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Aren Baybars M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Matthias Uwe Kask M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Chirag Duhan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 16/06 | Logan Zapp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 8-11 | L |
Julian Messina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Tsz-Him Chan UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Marc Van Der Merwe UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Tommy Czaplinski UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Ritesh Patil UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Marshall Landry UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Brayden Tallakson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Felix Corwin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Mario Garcia UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Ty Wunderlich UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ludovico Vaccari vs Julian Messina?
Our model gives 75% to Ludovico Vaccari, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.