Tennis · M15 Maceio · 18/10, 16:30

Prediction: Kaue Noatto vs Santiago Pesino

Team pages: Kaue Noatto · Santiago Pesino

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Kaue Noatto Santiago Pesino
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kaue Noatto 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLLWWLL
Santiago Pesino 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kaue Noatto 1496 · Santiago Pesino 1466
Kaue NoattoSantiago Pesino
Our model54%46%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Santiago Pesino makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Kaue NoattoSantiago Pesino
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11-1.3
Games (G-P)9-99.3-9.5
Aces0.80.6
Double faults1.94
1st serve %63.9%58.9%
Break %47.5%48.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kaue Noatto

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Francisco Fontes Damorim
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
16/09 Nicolas Zanellato
M15 Belem
0-2 7-12 L
15/09 Francisco Montana
M15 Belem
2-0 12-2 W
08/09 Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha
M15 Leme
2-0 8-4 W
01/09 Luiz Felipe Silva
M15 Porto Velho
0-2 7-11 L
04/08 Pedro Dietrich
M25 Londrina
0-2 5-12 L
03/08 Gabriel Schenekenberg
M25 Londrina
2-1 12-9 W
22/07 Bastian Malla
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 6-13 L
21/07 Ryan Augusto Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-7 W
20/07 Breno Braga
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-7 W

Santiago Pesino

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/09 Thiago Cigarran
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
31/08 Ian Vertberger
M15 Trelew
0-2 9-13 L
25/08 Lautaro Correa Beguerie
M15 Mar Del Plata
0-2 2-12 L
17/08 Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
1-2 10-11 L
12/08 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
11/08 Nicolas Baena
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
10/08 Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-1 8-9 W
22/07 Salvador Price
M25 Sao Paulo
1-2 13-15 L
21/07 Bautista De La Pena
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-3 W
20/07 Felipe Mifano Pinto
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kaue Noatto vs Santiago Pesino?

Our model gives 56% to Santiago Pesino, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.