Tennis · M15 Maceio · 18/10, 14:00
Prediction: Valentin Basel vs Mateus Napoli da Silveira
Team pages: Valentin Basel · Mateus Napoli da Silveira
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Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Basel
Mateus Napoli da Silveira
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Basel
3-7 (W-L)
Mateus Napoli da Silveira
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Basel 1477 · Mateus Napoli da Silveira 1471
| Valentin Basel | Mateus Napoli da Silveira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Valentin Basel | Mateus Napoli da Silveira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.6 | 9-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 62% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Basel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Enzo Lima M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 27/08 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Alex Finkelstein M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Pietro Marino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Estevez M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Mateus Napoli da Silveira
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Ryan Augusto Dos Santos M15 Leme |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Gabriel Ribeiro Pinho M15 Leme |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Felipe Moretti M15 Leme |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Enzo Crevelaro M15 Porto Velho |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Tomas Tischner M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/05 | Valentino Grippo M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 06/05 | Tomas Martinez M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Juan Ignacio Barraza M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/04 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Basel vs Mateus Napoli da Silveira?
Our model gives 71% to Valentin Basel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.