Tennis · Challenger Fort Worth · 20/10, 17:00
Prediction: Sebastian Gorzny vs Igor Marcondes
Team pages: Sebastian Gorzny · Igor Marcondes
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Gorzny
Igor Marcondes
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Gorzny
7-3 (W-L)
Igor Marcondes
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Gorzny 1584 · Igor Marcondes 1509
| Sebastian Gorzny | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Gorzny (rating 1584 vs 1509).
- Sebastian Gorzny dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 50.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Sebastian Gorzny | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-10.7 | 10.5-11.3 |
| Aces | 7.5 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Gorzny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Alastair Gray M25 Austin |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Quinn Vandecasteele M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Edward Winter M25 Austin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Tristan Boyer Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 21/09 | Aidan Mayo Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Andrew Johnson Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Igor Marcondes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 25/09 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Gorzny vs Igor Marcondes?
Our model gives 58% to Sebastian Gorzny, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.