Tennis · Challenger Fort Worth · 20/10, 17:00
Prediction: Edward Winter vs Timo Legout
Team pages: Edward Winter · Timo Legout
Prediction summary
Winner
Edward Winter
Timo Legout
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Edward Winter
4-6 (W-L)
Timo Legout
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Edward Winter
0–1
Timo Legout
(1 last)
- 05 Jul0-2 10-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edward Winter 1454 · Timo Legout 1578
| Edward Winter | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Timo Legout (rating 1454 vs 1578).
- Timo Legout is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Edward Winter 0–1 Timo Legout (1).
Statistics
| Edward Winter | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.7 | 13.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Edward Winter 0 – 1 Timo Legout (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Edward Winter 0–1 Timo Legout
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 Challenger Cary | 0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edward Winter
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Austin |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/09 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Keegan Smith Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | John Chin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Steven Christie Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Timo Legout
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Austin |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 25/09 | Tristan Boyer Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/09 | Colton Smith Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 21/09 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/09 | Darian King Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Henry Searle Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edward Winter vs Timo Legout?
Our model gives 71% to Timo Legout, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.