Tennis · Challenger Fort Worth · 18/10, 21:00

Prediction: Albert Pedrico Kravtsov vs Daniil Ostapenkov

Team pages: Albert Pedrico Kravtsov · Daniil Ostapenkov

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Albert Pedrico Kravtsov Daniil Ostapenkov
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Albert Pedrico Kravtsov 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLLWWL
Daniil Ostapenkov 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Albert Pedrico Kravtsov 1462 · Daniil Ostapenkov 1530
Albert Pedrico KravtsovDaniil Ostapenkov
Our model40%60%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniil Ostapenkov (rating 1462 vs 1530).
  • Daniil Ostapenkov is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Daniil Ostapenkov makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Albert Pedrico KravtsovDaniil Ostapenkov
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 25% (4) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.51.3-1.1
Games (G-P)12.6-13.111.5-11.7
Aces1.82.6
Double faults1.94.1
1st serve %61%66.9%
Break %55.2%53.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Albert Pedrico Kravtsov

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/08 Oliver Tarvet
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
04/08 Ronald Hohmann
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/07 Emile Hudd
M25 Aldershot
1-2 13-17 L
16/07 Reda Bennani
M25 Gandia
1-2 12-16 L
15/07 Carles Hernandez
M25 Gandia
2-1 19-17 W
07/07 Iliyan Radulov
M25 Roda de Bara
1-2 11-14 L
24/06 Lui Maxted
M25 Porto
0-2 9-13 L
23/06 Tomas Pinho
M25 Porto
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 John Echeverria
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
1-2 14-16 L
09/06 Dan Added
M25 Martos · ~Hard
1-2 14-18 L

Daniil Ostapenkov

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/10 Abedallah Shelbayh
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
29/09 Raphael Perot
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-1 13-13 W
28/09 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
28/09 Ilija Palavestra
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
21/09 Timo Legout
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
20/09 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
14/09 Timo Legout
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
14/09 Gus Grumet
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
05/08 Florent Bax
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
1-2 14-19 L
04/08 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 16-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Albert Pedrico Kravtsov vs Daniil Ostapenkov?

Our model gives 56% to Daniil Ostapenkov, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.