Tennis · Challenger Fort Worth · 18/10, 21:00
Prediction: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius
Team pages: Quinn Vandecasteele · Michael Antonius
Prediction summary
Winner
Quinn Vandecasteele
Michael Antonius
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Quinn Vandecasteele
4-6 (W-L)
Michael Antonius
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quinn Vandecasteele 1496 · Michael Antonius 1517
| Quinn Vandecasteele | Michael Antonius | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Quinn Vandecasteele makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Quinn Vandecasteele | Michael Antonius | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.4 | 10.6-8.1 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quinn Vandecasteele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Austin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Aryan Shah M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Preston Stearns Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 14/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Noah Zamora Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 22/08 | Li Tu ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Michael Antonius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Andrew Fenty M25 Austin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Keaton Hance Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Kei Nishikori US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Henry Searle US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Tristan McCormick M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Alexander Bernard M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/07 | Dillon Beckles M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 15/07 | Jonah Braswell M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/05 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius?
Our model gives 51% to Quinn Vandecasteele, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.