Tennis · Challenger Cali · 18/10, 18:30

Prediction: Jesse Flores vs Franco Ribero

Team pages: Franco Ribero

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Jesse Flores Franco Ribero
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jesse Flores 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLLWLWL
Franco Ribero 3-7 (W-L)
WWLLLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jesse Flores 1491 · Franco Ribero 1451
Jesse FloresFranco Ribero
Our model56%44%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jesse Flores (rating 1491 vs 1451).

Statistics

Jesse FloresFranco Ribero
Win %50%30%
Win % · Clay – 33% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.20.7-1.5
Games (G-P)11.2-119.2-10.5
Aces6.41.8
Double faults2.32
1st serve %76.1%63.5%
Break %33.7%43.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jesse Flores

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/09 Alexandr Binda
M25 Yinchuan
1-2 13-16 L
24/09 Reiya Komagata
M25 Yinchuan
2-0 12-4 W
14/09 Naoya Honda
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
13/09 Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-1 14-15 W
26/08 Oliver Okonkwo
M15 Champaign
0-2 10-13 L
12/08 Karl Poling
M25 East Lansing
0-2 8-12 L
09/05 Alec Beckley
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
08/05 Marc Van Der Merwe
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
07/05 Jordan Hasson
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
06/05 Simon Caldwell
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Franco Ribero

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/10 Maximo Zeitune
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
04/10 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
31/08 Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
30/08 Danial Spasov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
26/08 Daniel Michalski
M25 Poznan
0-2 8-13 L
16/08 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
09/08 Nikita Mashtakov
Challenger Todi · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
04/08 Radu Mihai Papoe
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 13-13 L
03/08 Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/08 William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 13-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jesse Flores vs Franco Ribero?

Our model gives 55% to Franco Ribero, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.