Tennis · Challenger Fort Worth · 18/10, 19:30
Prediction: Roger Pascual Ferra vs Duncan Chan
Team pages: Roger Pascual Ferra · Duncan Chan
Prediction summary
Winner
Roger Pascual Ferra
Duncan Chan
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Roger Pascual Ferra
6-4 (W-L)
Duncan Chan
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roger Pascual Ferra 1473 · Duncan Chan 1493
| Roger Pascual Ferra | Duncan Chan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Duncan Chan makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Roger Pascual Ferra | Duncan Chan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.5 | 12.3-13.1 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roger Pascual Ferra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Lui Maxted M25 Austin |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Tomasz Berkieta M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Li Tu Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/08 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Aidan Mayo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Colton Smith ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Duncan Chan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Colton Smith Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Keaton Hance Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Denis Petak Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 01/08 | Hugo Gaston ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/07 | James McCabe Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roger Pascual Ferra vs Duncan Chan?
Our model gives 56% to Duncan Chan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.