Tennis · Challenger Fort Worth · 18/10, 19:30

Prediction: James Trotter vs Gavin Young

Team pages: James Trotter · Gavin Young

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
James Trotter Gavin Young
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
James Trotter 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWLL
Gavin Young 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · James Trotter 1533 · Gavin Young 1459
James TrotterGavin Young
Our model60%40%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours James Trotter (rating 1533 vs 1459).
  • James Trotter dominates on serve: 7 aces and 51% break avg.
  • James Trotter is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

James TrotterGavin Young
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.80.9-1.4
Games (G-P)10.1-8.910.6-12.2
Aces74.7
Double faults3.62.1
1st serve %75.5%70%
Break %51%43.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

James Trotter

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Stefan Kozlov
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/09 Li Tu
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
27/09 Alexander Okonkwo
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
17/09 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
16/09 Federico Cina
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/09 Thomas Fancutt
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/09 Liu Ziyu
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
02/09 Yu Hsiou Hsu
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
31/08 Jie Cui
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
29/07 Tyler Zink
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
1-2 10-15 L

Gavin Young

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
M15 Lexington
0-2 7-12 L
10/08 Edward Winter
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
09/08 William Manning
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/08 Soonwoo Kwon
Challenger Lexington · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
30/07 Jack Anthrop
M25 Edwardsville
1-2 14-16 L
29/07 Cooper Woestendick
M25 Edwardsville
2-0 13-8 W
20/07 Sebastian Gorzny
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
1-2 15-18 L
19/07 Richard Biagiotti
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
13/07 Yassine Dlimi
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
11/07 Aidan Kim
M25 Dallas
1-2 13-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in James Trotter vs Gavin Young?

Our model gives 53% to James Trotter, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.