Tennis · UTR Pro Lubbock · 21/10, 21:00

Prediction: Ludovico Vaccari vs Stijn Paardekooper

Team pages: Ludovico Vaccari · Stijn Paardekooper

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Ludovico Vaccari Stijn Paardekooper
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ludovico Vaccari 6-4 (W-L)
WLLLWWWLWW
Stijn Paardekooper 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ludovico Vaccari 1534 · Stijn Paardekooper 1550
Ludovico VaccariStijn Paardekooper
Our model48%52%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Ludovico VaccariStijn Paardekooper
Win %60%70%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.4-0.8
Games (G-P)11.4-10.610.8-9.6
Aces1.53.9
Double faults3.21.5
1st serve %67.7%67%
Break %52.2%49.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ludovico Vaccari

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Leonard Tramolay
UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
19/10 Julian Messina
UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
28/07 Giovanni Oradini
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
27/07 Gioele Cerelli
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
2-1 11-12 W
26/07 Andrea Pavia
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
09/07 Aren Baybars
M25 Roda de Bara
1-2 14-17 L
08/07 Matthias Uwe Kask
M25 Roda de Bara
2-1 12-10 W
07/07 Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
M25 Roda de Bara
2-1 18-16 W
06/07 Manel Lazaro Juncadella
M25 Roda de Bara
0-2 5-13 L
18/06 Pedro Rodenas
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 11-14 L

Stijn Paardekooper

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Julian Messina
UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/10 Dante Teramo
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
15/10 Pablo Roche Alcaya
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
14/10 Ben Stecker
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
14/10 Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
13/10 Rodrigo Cruz
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
03/10 Dmitry Popko
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
01/10 Gabriele Bosio
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
2-1 15-12 W
30/09 Giannicola Misasi
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
2-1 13-15 W
28/09 Ruslan Tiukaev
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ludovico Vaccari vs Stijn Paardekooper?

Our model gives 64% to Stijn Paardekooper, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.