Prediction: Maxim Mrva vs Dusan Lajovic
Team pages: Maxim Mrva · Dusan Lajovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxim Mrva
Dusan Lajovic
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maxim Mrva
5-5 (W-L)
Dusan Lajovic
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxim Mrva 1515 · Dusan Lajovic 1541
| Maxim Mrva | Dusan Lajovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maxim Mrva | Dusan Lajovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.2 | 11.6-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 74.8% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 34.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 49% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 51% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxim Mrva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 20/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Dusan Lajovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Martin Landaluce Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Coleman Wong US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | David Jorda Sanchis US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Alexander Rozin Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxim Mrva vs Dusan Lajovic?
Our model gives 52% to Dusan Lajovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.