Prediction: Jurij Rodionov vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Team pages: Jurij Rodionov · Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Prediction summary
Winner
Jurij Rodionov
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Estimated games
24.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jurij Rodionov
7-3 (W-L)
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jurij Rodionov
0–3
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
(3 last)
- 12 Oct0-2 10-13L
- 15 Mar0-2 6-12L
- 20 Oct0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jurij Rodionov 1545 · Pierre-Hugues Herbert 1452
| Jurij Rodionov | Pierre-Hugues Herbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jurij Rodionov (rating 1545 vs 1452).
- Jurij Rodionov is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Jurij Rodionov 0–3 Pierre-Hugues Herbert (3).
- Note: Pierre-Hugues Herbert makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Jurij Rodionov | Pierre-Hugues Herbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 0.9-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.1 | 13.4-14 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 7.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 74.5% |
| Break % | 38% | 31.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.6
Over 22.5: 61% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 39% · 1.90
H2H · Jurij Rodionov 0 – 3 Pierre-Hugues Herbert (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jurij Rodionov 0–3 Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/25 ATP Brussels | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/03/25 Challenger Cherbourg | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10/18 ATP Vienna | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jurij Rodionov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Zizou Bergs Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Gauthier Onclin Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Jakub Mensik US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-21 | L |
| 31/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Frederico Ferreira Silva US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Kimmer Coppejans US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 22/08 | Kenta Miyoshi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/07 | Sandro Kopp ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Thiago Monteiro ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 22/06 | Paul Jubb Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jurij Rodionov vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert?
Our model gives 56% to Jurij Rodionov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.