Prediction: Francesco Maestrelli vs Borna Gojo
Team pages: Francesco Maestrelli · Borna Gojo
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Maestrelli
Borna Gojo
Estimated games
22.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Maestrelli
4-6 (W-L)
Borna Gojo
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Maestrelli 1482 · Borna Gojo 1537
| Francesco Maestrelli | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borna Gojo (rating 1482 vs 1537).
- Francesco Maestrelli dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 52.6% break avg.
- Borna Gojo dominates on serve: 9.8 aces and 42.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Francesco Maestrelli | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.8 | 11.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 9.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 77% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 47% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 53% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Maestrelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 16/09 | Arthur Nagel Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Borna Gojo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Zdenek Kolar US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Maestrelli vs Borna Gojo?
Our model gives 60% to Borna Gojo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.