Prediction: Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko
Team pages: Otto Virtanen · Vitaliy Sachko
Prediction summary
Winner
Otto Virtanen
Vitaliy Sachko
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Otto Virtanen
4-6 (W-L)
Vitaliy Sachko
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Otto Virtanen
1–1
Vitaliy Sachko
(2 last)
- 22 Jan1-2 10-15L
- 31 Mar2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Otto Virtanen 1475 · Vitaliy Sachko 1543
| Otto Virtanen | Vitaliy Sachko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vitaliy Sachko (rating 1475 vs 1543).
- Otto Virtanen dominates on serve: 12.9 aces and 44.9% break avg.
- Note: Otto Virtanen makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Otto Virtanen | Vitaliy Sachko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-14.4 | 12-10.2 |
| Aces | 12.9 | 5 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.2% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 53% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 47% · 1.80
H2H · Otto Virtanen 1 – 1 Vitaliy Sachko (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Otto Virtanen 1–1 Vitaliy Sachko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/25 Challenger Quimper | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 31/03/23 Challenger Lille | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Otto Virtanen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/10 | Remy Bertola Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Valentin Vacherot Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Lucas Catarina Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | Andrey Rublev US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 22-31 | L |
| 26/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Ugo Blanchet US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Vitaliy Sachko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Otto Virtanen vs Vitaliy Sachko?
Our model gives 55% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.