Tennis · ATP Lyon · 18/10, 15:30

Prediction: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Team pages: Ugo Blanchet · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Ugo Blanchet Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ugo Blanchet 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWLWWWL
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ugo Blanchet 1502 · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1540
Ugo BlanchetNicolai Budkov Kjaer
Our model45%55%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Ugo BlanchetNicolai Budkov Kjaer
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.5-1
Games (G-P)11.7-10.614-12
Aces54.5
Double faults1.62.4
1st serve %75.5%71.7%
Break %40.6%45.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.8 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -0.7
Over 23.5: 45% · 1.83 Under 23.5: 55% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ugo Blanchet

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Jerome Kym
Challenger Roanne · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
13/10 Tom Paris
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
12/10 Daniel De Jonge
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
11/10 Nicolas Tepmahc
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
01/10 Clement Chidekh
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
29/09 Viktor Durasovic
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
23/09 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
16/09 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Challenger Rennes · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
14/09 Billy Harris
Challenger Rennes · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
11/09 Daniel Masur
Challenger Cassis · Hard
1-2 16-15 L

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/10 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Roanne · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
16/10 Hugo Gaston
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
15/10 Moise Kouame
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/10 Jakub Paul
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
01/10 Felix Balshaw
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
1-2 17-18 L
29/09 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
22/09 Billy Harris
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
18/09 Jie Cui
Davis Cup
2-1 16-14 W
12/09 Titouan Droguet
Challenger Cassis · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
11/09 Moez Echargui
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-1 19-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?

Our model gives 58% to Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.