Tennis · ATP Lyon · 18/10, 15:30

Prediction: Jan Kumstat vs Michael Mmoh

Team pages: Jan Kumstat · Michael Mmoh

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Jan Kumstat Michael Mmoh
Estimated games
21.4Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Kumstat 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWWLLWL
Michael Mmoh 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jan Kumstat 1577 · Michael Mmoh 1541
Jan KumstatMichael Mmoh
Our model55%45%
Market51%49%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jan KumstatMichael Mmoh
Win %80%60%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.71.3-0.8
Games (G-P)13.1-10.111.1-9.1
Aces5.14.2
Double faults23.4
1st serve %76.5%67.2%
Break %41.9%57.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.1
Over 22.5: 42% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 58% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jan Kumstat

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Jacob Fearnley
Challenger Olbia · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
13/10 Edas Butvilas
Challenger Olbia · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
31/08 Juan Pablo Varillas
Challenger Como · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
22/08 Chun Hsin Tseng
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-1 17-10 W
21/08 Filip Cristian Jianu
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
20/08 Maxim Mrva
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
19/08 Sumit Nagal
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
18/08 Petr Brunclik
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
16/08 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Hamburg · Hard
2-1 18-17 W
15/08 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger Hamburg · Hard
2-1 17-13 W

Michael Mmoh

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/10 Luca Nardi
Challenger Olbia · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
14/10 Daniel Rincon
Challenger Olbia · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
13/10 Laslo Djere
Challenger Olbia · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
28/09 Laslo Djere
Challenger Porto · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
21/09 Darwin Blanch
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
20/09 Jeffrey John Wolf
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
19/09 Abedallah Shelbayh
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
16/09 Patrick Maloney
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
15/09 Karue Sell
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
25/08 Henrique Rocha
US Open · Hard
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jan Kumstat vs Michael Mmoh?

Our model gives 53% to Jan Kumstat, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.