Tennis · ATP Lyon · 18/10, 12:30

Prediction: Kyrian Jacquet vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Team pages: Kyrian Jacquet · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Kyrian Jacquet Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Estimated games
22.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kyrian Jacquet 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWWLWL
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWLWWL
Head-to-head
Kyrian Jacquet 1–0 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (1 last)
  • 27 Mar2-1 18-17W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kyrian Jacquet 1515 · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 1589
Kyrian JacquetSascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Our model40%60%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (rating 1515 vs 1589).
  • Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg dominates on serve: 10 aces and 44.3% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Kyrian Jacquet 1–0 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (1).

Statistics

Kyrian JacquetSascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Win %60%80%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.6-0.7
Games (G-P)12.4-1111.9-10.3
Aces7.510
Double faults2.42.4
1st serve %79.4%76.1%
Break %28.3%44.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 47% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 53% · 1.83

H2H · Kyrian Jacquet 1 – 0 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kyrian Jacquet 1–0 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

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DateSetsGamesRes.
27/03/23
Challenger Lille
2-118-17W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kyrian Jacquet

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Rei Sakamoto
ATP Shanghai · Hard
1-2 18-18 L
05/10 Tianhui Zhang
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
04/10 Jaume Munar
ATP Tokyo · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
02/10 Luciano Darderi
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
01/10 Holger Rune
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
28/09 Andrey Rublev
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
27/09 Fabian Marozsan
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
25/09 Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
23/09 Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
26/08 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
US Open · Hard
1-2 14-16 L

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/10 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Roanne · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
14/10 Clement Tabur
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
12/10 Liam Broady
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
04/10 Clement Chidekh
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
03/10 Joel Schwaerzler
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/10 Clement Tabur
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-1 14-13 W
30/09 Gauthier Onclin
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/09 Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
20/09 Harold Mayot
Challenger Rennes · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
19/09 Titouan Droguet
Challenger Rennes · Hard
2-1 17-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kyrian Jacquet vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg?

Our model gives 52% to Kyrian Jacquet, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.