Prediction: Daniel Altmaier vs Titouan Droguet
Team pages: Daniel Altmaier · Titouan Droguet
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Altmaier
Titouan Droguet
Estimated games
23.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Altmaier
1-9 (W-L)
Titouan Droguet
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Altmaier 1449 · Titouan Droguet 1628
| Daniel Altmaier | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 74% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Titouan Droguet (rating 1449 vs 1628).
- Titouan Droguet dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 41.4% break avg.
- Titouan Droguet is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daniel Altmaier | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.9-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-13.5 | 15-12.2 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 8.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 36% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.2
Over 22.5: 58% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 42% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Altmaier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Ben Shelton ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Holger Rune ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 28/09 | Jie Cui ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Dino Prizmic Davis Cup |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Zachary Svajda US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 13-24 | L |
| 26/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Francisco Comesana ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Titouan Droguet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Karl Poling Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 19/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Altmaier vs Titouan Droguet?
Our model gives 68% to Titouan Droguet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.