Prediction: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie
Team pages: Benjamin Bonzi · Cameron Norrie
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Bonzi
Cameron Norrie
Estimated games
25.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Bonzi
4-6 (W-L)
Cameron Norrie
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Benjamin Bonzi
1–1
Cameron Norrie
(2 last)
- 18 Jan2-3 20-28L
- 09 Nov2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Bonzi 1517 · Cameron Norrie 1473
| Benjamin Bonzi | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin Bonzi (rating 1517 vs 1473).
Statistics
| Benjamin Bonzi | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.2 | 1.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12.1 | 12.9-13.8 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.4
Over 22.5: 72% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 28% · 1.90
H2H · Benjamin Bonzi 1 – 1 Cameron Norrie (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Benjamin Bonzi 1–1 Cameron Norrie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 Australian Open | 2-3 | 20-28 | L |
| 09/11/24 ATP Metz | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Bonzi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Mika Brunold Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 28/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Karen Khachanov US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Ignacio Buse US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Alex Molcan US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Cameron Norrie
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Alexander Zverev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Luca Van Assche US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-24 | L |
| 16/08 | Alexander Zverev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Dino Prizmic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 05/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie?
Our model gives 56% to Cameron Norrie, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.