Prediction: Jaime Faria vs Felix Balshaw
Team pages: Jaime Faria · Felix Balshaw
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaime Faria
Felix Balshaw
Estimated games
25.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jaime Faria
6-4 (W-L)
Felix Balshaw
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaime Faria 1488 · Felix Balshaw 1513
| Jaime Faria | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 62% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jaime Faria makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Jaime Faria | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.7 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-15.9 | 14-13.9 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 9 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.7 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.2
Over 22.5: 71% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 29% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaime Faria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Arthur Gea ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 02/10 | Jaume Munar ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Arthur Fery ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Hugo Gaston ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Terence Atmane ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 03/09 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 11-22 | L |
| 30/08 | Jenson Brooksby US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
| 20/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Felix Balshaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Mika Brunold Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 02/10 | Henry Bernet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 29/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 08/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaime Faria vs Felix Balshaw?
Our model gives 55% to Jaime Faria, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.