Prediction: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet
Team pages: Ugo Humbert · Corentin Moutet
Prediction summary
Winner
Ugo Humbert
Corentin Moutet
Estimated games
24.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ugo Humbert
6-4 (W-L)
Corentin Moutet
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ugo Humbert
0–1
Corentin Moutet
(1 last)
- 29 Oct0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ugo Humbert 1467 · Corentin Moutet 1462
| Ugo Humbert | Corentin Moutet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ugo Humbert 0–1 Corentin Moutet (1).
- Note: Ugo Humbert makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Ugo Humbert | Corentin Moutet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-13.5 | 12.1-12.9 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.6
Over 22.5: 61% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 39% · 1.83
H2H · Ugo Humbert 0 – 1 Corentin Moutet (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ugo Humbert 0–1 Corentin Moutet
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/22 ATP Paris | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ugo Humbert
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Arthur Gea ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 03/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Ben Shelton ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Andres Martin ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Zizou Bergs Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 22-26 | L |
| 28/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Corentin Moutet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Marton Fucsovics ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Marcos Giron Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 22/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 09/06 | Nick Kyrgios ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Arthur Rinderknech Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 05/06 | Stan Wawrinka Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet?
Our model gives 59% to Ugo Humbert, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.