Prediction: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame
Team pages: Lorenzo Sonego · Moise Kouame
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Sonego
Moise Kouame
Estimated games
24.4Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Sonego
5-5 (W-L)
Moise Kouame
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Sonego 1442 · Moise Kouame 1453
| Lorenzo Sonego | Moise Kouame | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Moise Kouame makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Sonego | Moise Kouame | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-14.7 | 11-11.4 |
| Aces | 9.4 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 33.4% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +0.9
Over 23.5: 56% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 44% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Sonego
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/09 | James Duckworth ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 26-28 | L |
| 27/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Moise Kouame
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Adam Walton Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alexandre Muller ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Florent Bax Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/08 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame?
Our model gives 57% to Lorenzo Sonego, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.