Prediction: Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima
Team pages: Hamad Medjedovic · Brandon Nakashima
Prediction summary
Winner
Hamad Medjedovic
Brandon Nakashima
Estimated games
25Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hamad Medjedovic
5-5 (W-L)
Brandon Nakashima
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hamad Medjedovic
1–1
Brandon Nakashima
(2 last)
- 14 Oct0-2 8-13L
- 03 Nov2-1 16-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hamad Medjedovic 1435 · Brandon Nakashima 1540
| Hamad Medjedovic | Brandon Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brandon Nakashima (rating 1435 vs 1540).
- Brandon Nakashima is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Hamad Medjedovic makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Hamad Medjedovic | Brandon Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.8 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-15.1 | 14.5-13.2 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 10 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 19% | 32.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.5
Over 22.5: 67% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 33% · 1.83
H2H · Hamad Medjedovic 1 – 1 Brandon Nakashima (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hamad Medjedovic 1–1 Brandon Nakashima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/25 ATP Almaty | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/11/24 ATP Belgrade | 2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hamad Medjedovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Vilius Gaubas Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Kamil Majchrzak US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Sebastian Ofner Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-23 | L |
| 19/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 27/05 | Casper Ruud French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 24/05 | Yannick Hanfmann French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 24-18 | W |
Brandon Nakashima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Alexander Bublik ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 09/10 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Ugo Humbert ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Jakub Mensik Laver Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 31/08 | Sebastian Baez US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima?
Our model gives 68% to Brandon Nakashima, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.