Prediction: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce
Team pages: Stan Wawrinka · Martin Landaluce
Prediction summary
Winner
Stan Wawrinka
Martin Landaluce
Estimated games
25.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Stan Wawrinka
4-6 (W-L)
Martin Landaluce
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stan Wawrinka
1–0
Martin Landaluce
(1 last)
- 19 Sept2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stan Wawrinka 1390 · Martin Landaluce 1532
| Stan Wawrinka | Martin Landaluce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Landaluce (rating 1390 vs 1532).
- Martin Landaluce is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Stan Wawrinka 1–0 Martin Landaluce (1).
- Note: Martin Landaluce makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Stan Wawrinka | Martin Landaluce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-2.1 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-16.8 | 12.5-12.8 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 5 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 21% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.1
Over 22.5: 71% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 29% · 1.83
H2H · Stan Wawrinka 1 – 0 Martin Landaluce (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stan Wawrinka 1–0 Martin Landaluce
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/25 Challenger Saint-Tropez | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stan Wawrinka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Gustavo Heide Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 31/08 | Matteo Berrettini US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-20 | L |
| 21/08 | Roman Safiullin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Matteo Berrettini Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 25-27 | L |
| 07/06 | Arthur Rinderknech Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Corentin Moutet Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Jesper De Jong French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 16-21 | L |
Martin Landaluce
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 20/09 | Matias Soto Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 22-27 | L |
| 23/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce?
Our model gives 66% to Martin Landaluce, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.