Tennis · W50 Cherbourg · 18/10, 12:00
Prediction: Helena Stevic vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Team pages: Helena Stevic · Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Prediction summary
Winner
Helena Stevic
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Helena Stevic
3-7 (W-L)
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Helena Stevic 1439 · Maia Ilinca Burcescu 1504
| Helena Stevic | Maia Ilinca Burcescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maia Ilinca Burcescu (rating 1439 vs 1504).
- Note: Maia Ilinca Burcescu makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Helena Stevic | Maia Ilinca Burcescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-10.7 | 11.8-11 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 51.5% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Helena Stevic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Adela Polakovicova W15 Pecs |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Ilinca Sagmar W15 Brasov |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Natalija Senic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Lejla Hana Golubovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Jana Bojovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 15/07 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Tian Jialin W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Ilinca D Amariei W50 Stara Zagora |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Burgas |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Raya Markova W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/10 | Tara Wuerth W15 Varna |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Briyana Ivanova W15 Varna |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/09 | Anne Schaefer W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Sonja Zhenikhova W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Federica Sacco W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Helena Stevic vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu?
Our model gives 74% to Maia Ilinca Burcescu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.