Tennis · W50 Cherbourg · 18/10, 12:00

Prediction: Sarah Iliev vs Severine Deppner

Team pages: Sarah Iliev · Severine Deppner

Prediction summary
Winner
74% 26%
Sarah Iliev Severine Deppner
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sarah Iliev 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLLLWWL
Severine Deppner 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sarah Iliev 1559 · Severine Deppner 1499
Sarah IlievSeverine Deppner
Our model59%41%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sarah Iliev (rating 1559 vs 1499).

Statistics

Sarah IlievSeverine Deppner
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard – 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11-1.1
Games (G-P)12.1-10.77.8-9.2
Aces0.70.2
Double faults3.32.1
1st serve %62.5%53.6%
Break %53.5%47.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sarah Iliev

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/10 Emma Lene
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
0-2 11-14 L
08/10 Anna Burchak
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-1 14-10 W
06/10 Hanna Bougouffa
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 12-8 W
12/09 Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
W15 Dijon
2-1 14-11 W
11/09 Marta Soriano Santiago
W15 Dijon
2-1 14-10 W
10/09 Gina Marie Dittmann
W15 Dijon
2-1 15-10 W
09/09 Kayla Lorrimer
W15 Dijon
2-0 12-5 W
02/09 Alice Tubello
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
0-2 9-13 L
24/07 Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
0-2 6-12 L
23/07 Marcelina Podlinska
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-1 14-14 W

Severine Deppner

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Kim Chiarello
W35 Reims
0-2 6-12 L
27/09 Emma Vanderheyden
W35 Reims
2-0 13-7 W
13/09 Carson Tanguilig
W75 Le Neubourg
0-2 4-12 L
15/07 Vlada Mincheva
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
14/07 Laura Valentine Pop
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 8-7 W
09/07 Nada Fouad
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
08/07 Sana Garakani
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
07/07 Nour Sahnoun
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
04/05 Milena Ciocan
W15 Reichstett · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
03/05 Josephine Pasiut
W15 Reichstett · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sarah Iliev vs Severine Deppner?

Our model gives 74% to Sarah Iliev, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.