Tennis · W50 Cherbourg · 18/10, 16:30
Prediction: Sara Cakarevic vs Kim Chiarello
Team pages: Sara Cakarevic · Kim Chiarello
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Cakarevic
Kim Chiarello
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Cakarevic
5-5 (W-L)
Kim Chiarello
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sara Cakarevic
1–0
Kim Chiarello
(1 last)
- 15 Jun2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Cakarevic 1511 · Kim Chiarello 1550
| Sara Cakarevic | Kim Chiarello | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Sara Cakarevic 1–0 Kim Chiarello (1).
- Note: Kim Chiarello makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Sara Cakarevic | Kim Chiarello | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10 | 12.6-9.3 |
| Aces | 2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 55.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Sara Cakarevic 1 – 0 Kim Chiarello (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sara Cakarevic 1–0 Kim Chiarello
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/26 W75 Blois | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Cakarevic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Raluca Georgiana Serban WTA Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Katerina Tsygourova WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/10 | Lisa Zaar W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Tena Lukas W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Noemi Maines W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Maria Golovina W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Kim Chiarello
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Amandine Monnot W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Marie Villet W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Hee Rae Im W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Anna Brunet-Brady W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/09 | Salma Djoubri W35 Reims |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Meline Lataste W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Severine Deppner W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Demi Tran W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Naoko Eto W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Lisa Claeys W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Cakarevic vs Kim Chiarello?
Our model gives 51% to Sara Cakarevic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.