Tennis · W50 Cherbourg · 18/10, 13:30

Prediction: Delia Gaillard vs Marine Szostak

Team pages: Delia Gaillard · Marine Szostak

Prediction summary
Winner
27% 73%
Delia Gaillard Marine Szostak
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Delia Gaillard 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLLLWL
Marine Szostak 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLLWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Delia Gaillard 1447 · Marine Szostak 1498
Delia GaillardMarine Szostak
Our model43%57%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marine Szostak (rating 1447 vs 1498).
  • Marine Szostak is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Marine Szostak makes many double faults (6.3/match).

Statistics

Delia GaillardMarine Szostak
Win %20%50%
Win % · Clay 25% (4) –
Sets (G-P)0.4-1.71.1-1.1
Games (G-P)6.2-11.310.7-9.7
Aces0.32.1
Double faults2.76.3
1st serve %51.7%61.8%
Break %41.6%49.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Delia Gaillard

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas
W15 Chisinau
0-2 3-12 L
05/10 Onalee Wagner
W15 Chisinau
2-0 12-4 W
19/08 Margaux Maquet
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
0-2 3-12 L
17/08 Anna Shkutova
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
0-2 4-12 L
19/07 Anna Brunet-Brady
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
0-2 7-12 L
30/06 Raquel Caballero Chica
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
29/06 Eva Alvarez Sande
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
16/06 Lisa Claeys
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
15/06 Mallorie Nicault
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
2-1 11-11 W
09/06 Jordina Font
W35 Nice
0-2 8-13 L

Marine Szostak

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Jana Otzipka
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
0-2 5-12 L
05/10 Margaux Komano
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 13-8 W
04/10 Leila Fabbri
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 12-3 W
01/10 Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W35 Reims
0-2 6-12 L
30/09 Milena Ciocan
W35 Reims
2-0 12-6 W
14/09 Mathilde Lollia
W75 Le Neubourg
0-2 10-13 L
13/09 Katarina Kujovic
W75 Le Neubourg
2-1 17-10 W
08/09 Warda Ait El Bachir
W15 Dijon
0-2 5-12 L
03/09 Romane Longueville
W15 Cap d'Agde
1-2 14-14 L
02/09 Kseniia Ruchkina
W15 Cap d'Agde
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Delia Gaillard vs Marine Szostak?

Our model gives 73% to Marine Szostak, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.