Tennis · ATP Brussels · 18/10, 15:00
Prediction: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Team pages: Nishesh Basavareddy · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Nishesh Basavareddy
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nishesh Basavareddy
7-3 (W-L)
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nishesh Basavareddy 1560 · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1551
| Nishesh Basavareddy | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nishesh Basavareddy | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8.9 | 12.6-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.4
Over 20.5: 66% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 34% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nishesh Basavareddy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Edas Butvilas ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Kimmer Coppejans ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Andy Andrade Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Keaton Hance Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Mees Rottgering Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Tristan Schoolkate US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 19-22 | L |
| 28/08 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Tom Gentzsch ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 13/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Federico Cina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/09 | Reiya Komagata M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Jorge Plans M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Edison Ambarzumjan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Daniele Augenti M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz?
Our model gives 69% to Nishesh Basavareddy, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.