Tennis · ATP Almaty · 19/10, 08:30
Prediction: Miomir Kecmanovic vs James Duckworth
Team pages: Miomir Kecmanovic · James Duckworth
Prediction summary
Winner
Miomir Kecmanovic
James Duckworth
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Miomir Kecmanovic
3-7 (W-L)
James Duckworth
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miomir Kecmanovic 1429 · James Duckworth 1502
| Miomir Kecmanovic | James Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 62% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours James Duckworth (rating 1429 vs 1502).
Statistics
| Miomir Kecmanovic | James Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-13.3 | 12.6-12.1 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 31.2% | 26% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 49% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 51% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miomir Kecmanovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Jakub Mensik ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Edas Butvilas Davis Cup |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Denis Shapovalov US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 26/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
James Duckworth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Kamil Majchrzak Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Yibing Wu US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 31/08 | Matteo Arnaldi US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-18 | W |
| 28/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miomir Kecmanovic vs James Duckworth?
Our model gives 52% to Miomir Kecmanovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.