Tennis · ATP Almaty · 20/10, 08:00
Prediction: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Facundo Diaz Acosta
Team pages: Thiago Agustin Tirante · Facundo Diaz Acosta
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Agustin Tirante
6-4 (W-L)
Facundo Diaz Acosta
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Thiago Agustin Tirante
2–1
Facundo Diaz Acosta
(3 last)
- 24 Oct2-0 13-10W
- 12 Jul2-0 12-8W
- 09 Feb1-2 11-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Agustin Tirante 1513 · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1504
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Facundo Diaz Acosta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Thiago Agustin Tirante 2–1 Facundo Diaz Acosta (3).
Statistics
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Facundo Diaz Acosta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-13.7 | 12.6-11.5 |
| Aces | 10.4 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 80.4% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 26.5% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.3
Over 22.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 41% · 1.83
H2H · Thiago Agustin Tirante 2 – 1 Facundo Diaz Acosta (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thiago Agustin Tirante 2–1 Facundo Diaz Acosta
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/25 Challenger Costa do Sauipe | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07/25 Challenger Trieste | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/02/24 ATP Cordoba | 1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Rafael Jodar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 08/10 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Mert Alkaya Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Adrian Mannarino US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 21-25 | L |
| 21/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Martin Landaluce ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Novak Djokovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jan Choinski ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
Facundo Diaz Acosta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Nuno Borges ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/09 | Jaume Munar Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/09 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Quentin Halys US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 17-25 | L |
| 02/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Facundo Diaz Acosta?
Our model gives 63% to Thiago Agustin Tirante, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.