Tennis · ATP Almaty · 20/10, 08:00
Prediction: Zangar Nurlanuly vs Tomas Machac
Team pages: Zangar Nurlanuly · Tomas Machac
Prediction summary
Winner
Zangar Nurlanuly
Tomas Machac
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Zangar Nurlanuly
3-7 (W-L)
Tomas Machac
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zangar Nurlanuly 1491 · Tomas Machac 1477
| Zangar Nurlanuly | Tomas Machac | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 3% | 97% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Zangar Nurlanuly makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Zangar Nurlanuly | Tomas Machac | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.1 | 10.8-12.4 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zangar Nurlanuly
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Paul Jubb M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 30/09 | Aaron Gabet M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Dan Brand M15 Astana |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Yerassyl Yerdilda M15 Astana |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Aleksandre Bakshi M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/04 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/03 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/11 | Artur Kukasian M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Tomas Machac
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 15/10 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Alexander Bublik ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Zhizhen Zhang ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 01/10 | Alex Molcan ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Arthur Gea ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 30/08 | Toby Samuel US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zangar Nurlanuly vs Tomas Machac?
Our model gives 75% to Tomas Machac, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.