Tennis · ATP Almaty · 20/10, 08:00
Prediction: Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov
Team pages: Fabian Marozsan · Timofey Skatov
Prediction summary
Winner
Fabian Marozsan
Timofey Skatov
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Fabian Marozsan
5-5 (W-L)
Timofey Skatov
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Fabian Marozsan
2–0
Timofey Skatov
(2 last)
- 21 Oct2-0 13-9W
- 08 May2-1 15-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fabian Marozsan 1490 · Timofey Skatov 1473
| Fabian Marozsan | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Fabian Marozsan 2–0 Timofey Skatov (2).
Statistics
| Fabian Marozsan | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12.9 | 10.6-10.7 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 34.9% | 27.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Fabian Marozsan 2 – 0 Timofey Skatov (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fabian Marozsan 2–0 Timofey Skatov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/23 ATP Vienna | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/05/23 ATP Rome | 2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fabian Marozsan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Zachary Svajda ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 24/09 | Alex Bolt ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Louis Van Herck Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Michael Zheng US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 28/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Martin Damm ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Timofey Skatov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Bernard Tomic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Stefanos Sakellaridis ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Kasra Rahmani Asian Games |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Yanki Erel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Grigor Dimitrov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Alex Barrena Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov?
Our model gives 67% to Fabian Marozsan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.