Tennis · ATP Brussels · 17/10, 14:00
Prediction: Clement Chidekh vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Team pages: Clement Chidekh · Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Prediction summary
Winner
Clement Chidekh
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Estimated games
20Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Clement Chidekh
8-2 (W-L)
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clement Chidekh 1594 · Gilles Arnaud Bailly 1466
| Clement Chidekh | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clement Chidekh (rating 1594 vs 1466).
- Clement Chidekh is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Clement Chidekh | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-7.2 | 8.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 4 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 76.9% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -1.5
Over 21.5: 40% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 60% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clement Chidekh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Jerome Kym Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/10 | Henry Bernet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/09 | David Goffin Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Finn Bass Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Timofey Skatov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Raphael Perot M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Fadi Bidan M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Mac Visser M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Zaccharie Cado M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clement Chidekh vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly?
Our model gives 74% to Clement Chidekh, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.