Tennis · ATP Brussels · 17/10, 14:00
Prediction: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Remy Bertola
Team pages: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · Remy Bertola
Prediction summary
Winner
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Remy Bertola
Estimated games
25.6Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
4-6 (W-L)
Remy Bertola
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 1409 · Remy Bertola 1467
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Remy Bertola (rating 1409 vs 1467).
- Note: Remy Bertola makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.8 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-14.6 | 13.7-14.1 |
| Aces | 15.1 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 77.1% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 25.4% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.6 · Bet365 line 24.5 · +1.1
Over 24.5: 57% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 43% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Etienne Donnet Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/08 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-20 | L |
| 23/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Trevor Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Yannick Hanfmann Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-25 | L |
| 16/06 | Corentin Moutet ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 14/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Johannus Monday ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Alexander Bublik ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Remy Bertola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Alexandre Reco Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Davis Cup |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 03/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Jerome Kym Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Andre Ilagan ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Remy Bertola?
Our model gives 50% to Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.