Tennis · ATP Brussels · 17/10, 16:30
Prediction: Kimmer Coppejans vs Andrea Guerrieri
Team pages: Kimmer Coppejans · Andrea Guerrieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Kimmer Coppejans
Andrea Guerrieri
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kimmer Coppejans
3-7 (W-L)
Andrea Guerrieri
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kimmer Coppejans
1–0
Andrea Guerrieri
(1 last)
- 07 Apr2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kimmer Coppejans 1443 · Andrea Guerrieri 1521
| Kimmer Coppejans | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Guerrieri (rating 1443 vs 1521).
- Andrea Guerrieri is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kimmer Coppejans 1–0 Andrea Guerrieri (1).
- Note: Andrea Guerrieri makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Kimmer Coppejans | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-10.9 | 13-11.7 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +0.5
Over 21.5: 53% · 1.72
Under 21.5: 47% · 2.00
H2H · Kimmer Coppejans 1 – 0 Andrea Guerrieri (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kimmer Coppejans 1–0 Andrea Guerrieri
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/18 Challenger Barletta Qual | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kimmer Coppejans
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Dane Sweeny ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Nishesh Basavareddy ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Miguel Damas Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Andrea Guerrieri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | August Holmgren Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 21/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Alex De Minaur US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Joel Schwaerzler US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/08 | August Holmgren US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kimmer Coppejans vs Andrea Guerrieri?
Our model gives 59% to Andrea Guerrieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.