Tennis · ATP Brussels · 17/10, 17:00
Prediction: Martin Damm vs Buvaysar Gadamauri
Team pages: Martin Damm · Buvaysar Gadamauri
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Damm
Buvaysar Gadamauri
Estimated games
24.5Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Damm
6-4 (W-L)
Buvaysar Gadamauri
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Damm 1451 · Buvaysar Gadamauri 1503
| Martin Damm | Buvaysar Gadamauri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 85% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Buvaysar Gadamauri (rating 1451 vs 1503).
- Martin Damm dominates on serve: 14.4 aces and 40.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Martin Damm | Buvaysar Gadamauri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-13.6 | 12-12.7 |
| Aces | 14.4 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +5
Over 19.5: 81% · 1.72
Under 19.5: 19% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Damm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 28/09 | Arthur Fils ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 26/09 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Frances Tiafoe US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-25 | L |
| 27/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Buvaysar Gadamauri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Felix Gill Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/10 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 12/10 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/10 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Damm vs Buvaysar Gadamauri?
Our model gives 66% to Martin Damm, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.