Tennis · ATP Brussels · 20/10, 12:00
Prediction: Mariano Navone vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Team pages: Mariano Navone · Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariano Navone
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Estimated games
25.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mariano Navone
3-7 (W-L)
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mariano Navone
3–2
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
(5 last)
- 12 Jul2-0 13-8W
- 01 Oct0-2 8-13L
- 23 Sept2-0 13-8W
- 03 Jul2-0 13-8W
- 29 Oct0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariano Navone 1473 · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1463
| Mariano Navone | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mariano Navone 3–2 Juan Manuel Cerundolo (5).
Statistics
| Mariano Navone | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.7 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-14.7 | 12.1-13.6 |
| Aces | 3 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 73% |
| Break % | 29.9% | 28.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.6
Over 22.5: 68% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 32% · 1.80
H2H · Mariano Navone 3 – 2 Juan Manuel Cerundolo (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mariano Navone 3–2 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/25 Challenger Braunschweig | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/10/22 Challenger Buenos Aires | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/09/22 Challenger Villa Maria | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07/19 ITF M25 Buenos Aires | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/10/18 ITF Argentina F7 | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariano Navone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Matteo Berrettini US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 31/08 | Novak Djokovic US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-22 | W |
| 25/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Alexander Blockx ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Raphael Collignon ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/09 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Yi Zhou ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 27/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariano Navone vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
Our model gives 54% to Mariano Navone, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.